3/15/2022

Blackjack 15 Vs 7

An optimal strategy for Blackjack is expressed by filling each of the 340 table cells (spread across the three tables) with the best choice for each holding/dealer upcard combination — either stand, hit, double-down, or split. Blackjack - HiLo Basic Strategy and Deviations. 15 vs A: Definition. Surrender at 0 or greater Hit at -1 or less: Term. 14 vs 9: Definition. Just to reinforce the initial point that potential gains are higher when the dealer has a 7, average losses for 9-7 vs. 10 are 53.7 cents if you stand and 53.5 if you hit. That’s the close-call hand, not 16 vs. 10 If you’ve played much basic strategy blackjack, you’ve had this happen more times than you care to count.

OneAngryDwarf
I notice quite a few 'ploppies' (as card counters like to call casual blackjack players, though I'm far more of a ploppy than a counter myself) like to stand on the worst stiff hands, 15 & 16, against a dealer's 7. I guess they think it's not worth it to risk busting against a relatively weak dealer upcard, which does have a certain logic to it, admittedly. Still, it does go against the common basic strategy, so what exactly is the cost of doing this? Is it significant, or is it as negligible as standing on 16 vs. 10?Blackjack 15 Vs 7
'I believe I've passed the age/of consciousness and righteous rage/I've found that just surviving was a noble fight... I once believed in causes too/I had my pointless point of view/And life went on no matter who was wrong or right...' --Billy Joel
pocketaces
Blackjack 15 vs 7 mm
Far more significant. On 15 (10,5) vs 7, the value of hitting is -0.368927, whereas the value of standing is -0.475708. The numbers for 16 are a bit closer together but similar.
The reason of course is if you make a hand of 17-21 against a 7 you are very likely to win (or push). Against a 10, you still lose a lot even if you make a hand of 17, 18, or 19, so hitting has less value.
A 7 is only a 'weak dealer card' if you have made a hand of 17-21. Then it's great. Otherwise, it busts only slightly more often than a 10. You should never stand on any stiff hand against it, it's not even near borderline.
OneAngryDwarf
Makes sense. Thanks.
'I believe I've passed the age/of consciousness and righteous rage/I've found that just surviving was a noble fight... I once believed in causes too/I had my pointless point of view/And life went on no matter who was wrong or right...' --Billy Joel
pacomartin
It is a very common mistake. It just feels bad to bust when the dealer only has a 7. Wizard of Odds appendix 9 tells you all the expected values, so you can look up how much of a mistake it would be to go against strategy. However, the previous answer is correct. Standing on a dealer 7 is much worse than standing on a dealer 10 when you have a hard 16.

Blackjack Probability and Blackjack Odds

To fully understand the game of blackjack, you must understand and master blackjack odds. It's crucial to know how the casino gains its edge and how it helps them win. It's also important to understand blackjack odds such as the odds of hitting a 10 or the odds of being dealt a blackjack. You can read over these blackjack odds charts to help understand the logistics behind blackjack.

Casino and Dealer Advantage in Blackjack

In most casino games of blackjack, the house advantage (the dealer advantage) is ~ 8%. The house gets this advantage by the dealer being the last player to act. By acting last, all other players have already made their decisions and could quite possibly bust before the dealer has his turn.

By using correct blackjack basic strategy, you can turn the casino edge in blackjack from 7%-8% down to 0.5%. If you correctly use advanced card counting techniques, you can often change blackjack odds and give yourself the advantage over the casino. Manipulating the house odds to your favor is the reason most casinos don't allow card counters to play blackjack.

Probability of Busting on a Hit

It's very important to know the probability of your hand busting when you are holding any total in the game of blackjack. The following odds chart shows the blackjack odds of busting, depending on your current hand value:

Hand Value% Bust If You Hit
21100%
2092%
1985%
1877%
1769%
1662%
1558%
1456%
1339%
1231%
11 or Less0%

Two-Card Count Frequencies

Blackjack 16 Vs 7

This interesting blackjack odds chart is the two card count frequency chart. This chart shows the percentage chance that you will be dealt a hand in each given value range. The most important frequencey to note is the chance of being dealt a natural blackjack (natural 21 value. The odds of being dealt a natural blackjack are merely 4.8%. Following this chart you will see that the most common two card hand, at 38.7%, is a hand totaling 1-16, which is considered a decision hand.

Two Card Count% Frequency
Natural 214.8%
Hard Standing (17-20)30.0 %
Decision Hands (1-16)38.7%
No Bust26.5%
TOTAL100.0%

Dealer Final Hand Probabilities

Blackjack 15 Vs 7 Inch

This blackjack odds chart shows the dealer final hand probability. These are the percentages that the dealer will end up with a hand totaling each corresponding value (up to 16). Read over this chart to understand the odds that the dealer has to make his final hand.

Dealer Final Hand Value%Cumulative % Total
Natural 214.82%4.83%
21 (3 or More Cards)7.36%12.19%
2017.58%29.77%
1913.48%43.25%
1813.81%57.06%
1714.58%71.64%
1628.36%100.00%

Player Advantage vs. Dealer Up Card

The first two columns in this odds chart explain the dealer's chance of busting, depending on the up card that he is showing. You should note that the dealer has the highest chance of busting when he is showing a 5. The third column in this chart shows the player advantage of using basic strategy, compared to each up card the dealer is showing. You can see that the player has the highest advantage of 23.9%, when the dealer is showing a 5. When the dealer is showing any card that is 9 value or higher, the player is in the negative advantage range.

Dealer Up CardDealer Bust %Player Advantage % with Basic Strategy
235.30%9.8%
337.56%13.4%
440.28%18.0%
542.89%23.2%
642.08%23.9%
725.99%14.3%
823.86%5.4%
923.34%-4.3%
J,Q,K21.43%-16.9%
A11.65%-16.0%

Blackjack 15 Vs 7 Pro

Effects of Removing Cards from a Deck

When looking at the odds of removing certain cards from a 52-card deck, some cards have a much greater effect on blackjack odds. To create the strongest card counting system ever invented, you would have to incorporate all of these slight and subtle differences into the numbers to be a completely accurate system.

Removing every 5 from a deck cards would make the largest impact of improving your blackjack odds, as a player. On the other hand, removing every Ace from a deck of cards would make the largest impact on improving the odds for the casino.

Card% Effect of Removal
20.40%
30.43%
40.52%
50.67%
60.45%
70.30%
80.01%
9-0.15%
10-0.51%
A-0.59%

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